India's benchmark index crashes over 900 points -Indian Union Budget 2008

Mumbai, March 3 (IANS) After opening the day in the red Monday, the Indian equity markets plunged deeply despite Finance Minister P. Chidambaram saying there was no cause for worry.

Investors made heavy sales in major stocks like HDFC, Bharat Heavy Electricals, State Bank of India and Reliance Capital Ltd.

At 3.30 p.m., the 30-share sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), which had opened at 17,227.56 points, tumbled to a low of 16,651.85 points. It lost 926.87 points or 5.27 percent.

The BSE Midcap index, which opened at 7,622.76 points, went down by 289.68 points to a low of 7,379.96 or by 3.77 percent.

The BSE Smallcap index, which opened at 9,591.22 points, went down by 364.66 at 9,263.47 points or 3.79 percent.

On BSE, the market breadth was extremely negative with low trading volumes. A total of 374 shares advanced, 2,325 shares declined and 37 shares remained unchanged.

Earlier in the day, Chidambaram had said the fall in Indian stock markets reflected what was happening globally and there was not much cause for worry as India's growth stock was intact.

'The Asian markets have slipped today (Monday) because of the fears of a recession in the US. And what is happening in India only shows that we are not as decoupled as we may think we are,' he said.

'I don't think we need to worry too much about that. This is reflecting what is happening in the world market,' he added, after the sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) opened with a loss of 360 points.

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No leg-up for long-term investment, NPS' woes to continue -Indian Union Budget

Union Budget 2008-09 has not spelt out any concrete measure, which will boost long-term investment. The new pension system (NPS) continues to suffer from adverse tax treatment, compared to other savings instruments such as Public Provident Fund (PPF), Employees Provident Fund (EPF) and General Provident Fund (GPF). While EET (exempt-exempt-tax) structure is applicable to small savings instruments, for pension products, EET structure is applicable, which could prove to be a disincentive for investors to park their funds in long-term savings instruments, which include pension and life insurance products.

In addition, though the exemption level for personal income tax has been raised, the additional ceiling has not been channelised to boost savings.

This is, however, likely to give a push to consumption.

Finance minister P Chidambaram has also remained silent on whether reforms would be carried out in pension and insurance sector. Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority Bill is yet to see the light of the day. On the other hand, comprehensive amendment in the insurance sector is also pending. Reforms in these two crucial sectors have almost come to a halt due to still protest from the Left parties.

Speaking to FE, D Swarup, chairman of PFRDA pointed out, "We were hopeful that NPS contributions will be brought on par with PPF, EPF GPF in terms of tax treatment. This does not seem to have been done and NPS continues to be under the EET regime whereas the other saving products are exempt from tax at every stage." He added that this will be a disincentive for potential NPS participants after the PFRDA Bill is passed.

"The additional income in the hands of an individual on account of higher exemption limits could have been channelised towards savings if the ceiling under Section 80C of IT Act been enhanced too. We need the savings rate to go up even further to spur investments," he said.

However, CS Rao, chairman, Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA) said that the increase in tax from 10% to 15% on short term capital gains may encourage people to go in for long term investment options. "This increase in tax structure is bound to give a push to long term investment," he told FE.

Rao further added that the health insurance segment would benefit from the tax benefits which have been provided to individuals who pay premium on behalf of their parents. The budget provides a deduction of Rs 15,000 under Section 80D to an individual who pays medical insurance premium for parents. "This is a boost to senior citizens and would be beneficial for the health insurance segment," Rao

pointed out.

In addition, insurance schemes for the unorganised sector have also been introduced this year, he said. The "Aam Admi Bima" yojana is aimed at providing insurance cover to the poorer section of the society.

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E-bike manufacturers disappointed over Budget 2008-09

The Union Budget has dampened the spirits of electronic bike (E-Bike) manufacturers as the government has left the issues of excise duty on such bikes and import duty on battery untouched.

The E-Bike manufacturers had sought from Union Finance Minister to exempt excise duty on E-Bike and reduce import duty on battery, which is a key input for a bike.

Upset over not acceding to the request of the industry, Onkar Singh Pahwa Managing Director of Avon Cycles -- a e-bike manufacturer-- said it is beyond his cognizance that "why Finance Minister ignored the common man's dream of owning an affordable battery-powered two-wheeler while battery-powered car is given exemption from whole of excise duty."

The electric two wheelers in particular continue to attract 8 per cent excise duty "which is social injustice of the cruelest kind," he remarked.

Current taxation on E-Bike and its parts makes its ownership prohibitive for the average aspirant in this segment, he said therefore, these be fully exempted, as in the case of electric car, he said.

Echoing similar views, Hero Cycles, which is also a big player in this segment, expressed surprise over not touching the demands of E-Bike industry in the Budget. "The government should have reduced the import duty on battery which constitutes almost 25 to 27 per cent of the cost," Hero Exports (part of Hero Cycles) Senior Vice President Ashok Abrol said.

Several players, including Yo bikes, Hero Electric, Avon Cycles have ventured into this segment which is still at nascent stage

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Time to buy datacard, DVD or MP3 -India Budget 2008

It may be time to opt for that satellite cable connection for your TV or Internet (wireless datacard) connection for your notebook or a DVD or MP3 player to play soothing music.

The Finance Minister, P Chidambaram, has proposed that specified parts of set-top boxes and raw materials used in the IT/electronic hardware industry should be exempted from customs duty, whereas the customs duty on convergence products should be slashed from 10 per cent to five per cent.

This will lead to a drop in prices, albeit small in some cases, after reading the fine print, according to industry experts and analysts.

"If one reads carefully," noted Ramesh Vaswani, Executive Vice Chairman, Intex Technologies, "the reduction in customs duty and one per cent reduction in central sales tax (CST) will not really reduce the retail prices of portable media players such as MP3, MP4 and DVD players by a significant margin."

The prices could fall anywhere between Rs 100 and Rs 200 for an MP3 player that costs Rs 3,000, said Vaswani.

Meanwhile, the cut in excise duty -- from 16 per cent to nil -- on wireless data cards would accelerate the Internet penetration among middle-class laptop users. Notebook sales have been growing by over 70 per cent annually.

"Since notebook sales are primarily driven by consumption in the household segment, according to MAIT, it makes economic sense to have cheaper wireless data cards for home browsing," observed R Muralidharan, Associate Director, PricewaterhouseCoopers.

Both Airtel and Tata Communications said they will pass the entire benefit to customers. Manoj Kohli, CEO and President, Bharti Airtel [Get Quote], said, "The benefit of duty cut on wireless data cards would be passed to the consumers completely."

Muralidharan, though, added a word of caution: "We are not sure if wireless data cards include the USB dongles, which have become quite popular lately."

A quick calculation shows that if the duty cut benefit is completely passed on to consumers, a USB data dongle priced at Rs 3,000 will be cheaper by almost Rs 500.

A dampener, though, was the budget proposal wherein the finance minister imposed a National Calamity Contingent Duty (NCCD) at the rate of 1 per cent on mobile phones.

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Source:http://www.rediff.com/money/2008/mar/03budget6.htm

Budget and your stocks Sectoral analysis

What the Budget does

Exemption from customs duty on specified parts of set top boxes and specified raw materials for use in the IT/ electronic hardware industry.
Reduction in customs duty on convergence products from 10% to 5%.
No change in the corporate income tax rates.
No change in the rate of surcharge and dividend distribution tax.

Impact on sector

The exemption of customs duty will bring broadcasting equipment like set top boxes on par with rates applicable on telecom equipment and provide a fillip to the DTH industry that uses set top boxes.
It will also encourage domestic production of set top boxes.

Source:http://specials.rediff.com/money/2008/feb/29budsec1.htm

Pharma shares act as defensives - India Budget 2008

Shares of pharmaceutical companies seemed oblivious to the carnage in the markets on Monday, with the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Health Care index?losing just 0.2% in value.

Both the Sensex and the broader BSE 500 index lost 5% in value, taking cues from the fall in US stocks last Friday and the drop in Asian markets on Monday. The pharma industry got a fair bit of mention in this year’s Budget, with a number of positive announcements, but an analyst with a foreign brokerage said he doubted the resilience in pharma shares had anything to do with the Budget.

The upside from the Budget had already been factored in on Friday. In any case, the benefits weren’t huge.

The cut in excise duty from 16% to 8% will have a limited impact. Unlike some other products, pharmaceuticals aren’t so price-sensitive that excise-related cuts will lead to a surge in demand.

So, firms are likely to retain some of the benefits and earnings may increase. Morgan Stanley recently estimated the earnings of the firms under its coverage may increase between 1.

5% and 4.5%, on the assumption that 40% of the duty cut is retained by firms.

Companies that have heavily invested in setting up facilities in tax-free zones, such as Baddi and Sikkim, may stand to lose out. The transportation cost from these facilities is significant, and devoid of the 16% excise differential, their cost benefit of these units would be reduced substantially.

Firms that conduct clinical trials in their overseas units haven’t got the benefit of weighted deduction on the research and development spend. The markets were expecting this, which explains why shares of Sun Pharmaceutical Ltd’s hived-off research and development wing have lost more than 4% since the Budget announcement.

In sum, the Budget proposals hardly provide any reason for pharma shares to outperform the market by around 7%. Their outperformance lately could well be because they are being seen as a defensive play in a falling market.

Apart from the FMCG index, the pharma index has fallen the least from its highs in January. These stocks had underperformed the market by a large margin in the past and since prices of generics have already fallen sharply in most markets, earnings growth is expected to be steady in the near future.

With valuations already running low, pharma stocks are among the few where the downside seems limited.

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Union Budget 08-09 & impact on Indian IT industry

Union Budget is welcome for India as a whole. Its quite inclusive & have much needed focus on inclusive growth. India growth story cannot be continued without making every Indian part of it.
From IT perspective & for me as IT enterepeneur its bit dis-appointing budget. Specially

1) No mention of STPI scheme extension plan. Its very critical for SME IT companies. Bigger companies can always opt for SEZ.

2) Inclusion of custom software services & software testing services under service tax net. Big dampener for domestic IT business.

3) Increase in excise duty on packaged software. Will make local software product costlier as compared to international ones.

Lets hope there will be some positive developments atleast on STPI front during the year before deadline of 2009.

Source: http://www.e-zest.net/blog/post/Union-Budget-08-09--impact-on-IT.aspx

Sensex feels heat of farm loan write-offs, global pressure -India Budget 2008

The Bombay Stock Exchange’s (BSE) benchmark index suffered its second biggest single-day drop ever on Monday, the first day of trading after the 2008 Union Budget was presented, as plans for the country’s largest farm loan write-down added to deepening fears of a recession in the US. While the sell-off on negative global market cues was expected, the massive loan write-off by state-run banks, announced in the Budget, increased bearishness.

The potential losses faced by public sector banks added to the selling pressure,” said Satish Ramanathan, who helps manage $3 billion worth Indian stocks as head of equities at Sundaram BNP Paribas Asset Management Co. Ltd.

The 30-stock benchmark index, Sensex, lost more than 900 points or 5.12% to close at 16,677.

88, as all key Asian markets suffered heavy selling after key US equity indices, Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500, lost more than 2.5% each on Friday’s trade.

The National Stock Exchange’s (NSE) broader 50-stock Nifty index lost 270.50 points or 5.

18% to hit 4,953. The banking index was down 6.

7%, making it the worst hit on BSE. The Budget was presented during market hours on Friday, when the Sensex closed down 1.

4%. On Monday, the bank stocks “pushed down the sentimental scale,” said Ketan Karani, head of equity research at Kotak Securities Ltd, a domestic retail brokerage.

The government has so far mentioned only about “providing liquidity support” to these banks which would be affected by loan write-offs. “Their destiny is unclear.

” Banks, with a cumulative market capitalization of about $150 billion, account for 15% of the Indian market’s total capitalization. State-owned banks account for about half of the sector’s market cap.

State Bank of India (SBI), the country’s largest lender, lost 8.8%, while other public sector banks such as Union Bank of India, Punjab National Bank, Bank of India and Canara Bank, were down between 9.

65% and 7.5%.

Jignesh Desai, head of institutional desk at SBI Capital Markets Ltd, the investment banking arm of SBI, said foreign institutional investors sold heavily on Monday. The selling put pressure on the local currency as these investors convert their rupee exposure in equities into dollar after selling stocks.

The rupee slid to a five-and-a-half month low. The rupee closed at 40.

39/40 a dollar against its Friday’s close of 40.01/02.

Some brokers, who deal with foreign institutional investors (FIIs), claimed that a group of UK-based funds, including FII-registered funds floated by some Indian firms, were big sellers in the FII-pack. According to provisional data on the BSE website, FIIs were net sellers of Rs711 crore in the cash market on Monday, while domestic institutions bought Rs80 crore worth stocks.

It was a free fall in the market in the second-half of trading, said Desai. “There were no buyers.

Domestic institutions—mutual funds and insurance funds—did not participate in late-trade,” he said. “With FIIs continuing to sell and domestic investors down on sentiments, the market channels are dry,” Kotak’s Karani said.

Investors need fresh trigger to rerecognize the growth potential of Indian stocks, which have lost significantly this year, he added. Analysts expect the fall to continue and some some of them even predicted that the index would go down to 15,000 levels by the end of this month.

Jignesh Shah, head of equities at the wealth management division of ABN Amro Bank (India) NV, said global cues “had strong bearing on the Sensex fall than any domestic factor.” High net worth individuals (HNIs) “expect market to achieve stability in sometime,” he said.

“HNIs are buying domestic themes.” Anup Roy contributed to this story.

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Airlines lobby for low tax on fuel by states - India Budget 2008-09

After receiving little respite from state-owned oil companies on aviation fuel prices and Friday’s Union Budget on a tax on lease payments, airlines in India now plan to lobby hard at least six state governments to reduce sales tax levied on fuel in an effort to cut their operating costs. States apply sales tax at rates ranging from 20-30% on jet fuel, making it an expensive commodity for airlines who count fuel expenses around a third of their operating cost.

As oil prices have escalated in the past few years, losses at domestic airlines are expected to top $700 million (Rs2,821 crore) compared with the Rs2,000 crore lost last year. “We were expecting a lot from the Budget in terms of fuel being made a declared good, and (exemptions on) fringe benefit tax,” said S.

Venkat, executive director (finance), National Aviation Co. of India Ltd that runs Air India.

“It’s quite disappointing that there is nothing contained there.” Late last year, the Federation of Indian Airlines, a lobby organization for all scheduled airlines in the country, together with the civil aviation ministry, had sought a reduction in aviation turbine fuel prices from oil companies, but with little result.

The fuel today costs about Rs47,050 per kilolitre in New Delhi, down from some Rs47,445 in December, the highest in 2007. Even minor reductions, airlines say, can lessen the burden on them.

Chennai-based Paramount Airways India Ltd that runs a five-aircraft operation, for example, saves up to Rs5 crore a month because it flies smaller aircraft, fuel for which attracts a flat 4% sales tax. Air India alone will save Rs30 crore annually from this year after an exemption granted by the Andhra Pradesh government—the only one so far—last month on jet fuel.

Sales tax on aviation fuel sold in the state was reduced from 33% to 4% as the state geared up for the launch of its new international airport in March. The state hopes the airport will help it become a regional hub for air traffic in south India.

But taxes in other states still remain high. Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Gujarat, Maharashtra and New Delhi are the other six states that have airports with potential of becoming hubs for airlinesand will be obvious lobbying targets as state annual budgets are rolled out in the months ahead.

“States also go for their budget soon. We hope Andhra Pradesh will spur others to look at it (a reduction),” said a senior airline executive, who did not wished himself or his employer to be identified.

Airlines believe sales taxes hovering around 4-5% will increase traffic in states that offer this lower rate. “Airlines would like to develop them (airports) as hubs and then operate most of their flights there.

There are several indirect benefits as the volumes rise,” said Air India’s Venkat. A senior official in the civil aviation ministry, who did not wish to be identified, said it too plans to ask states to reduce taxes.

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Used-car market may surge with Union Budget sops

As the effects of the Union Budget 2008-09 slowly begin to trickle down, auto industry companies feel that there will be a surge in the number of buyers and sellers in the used car market. With the Budget granting them more disposable income, many would resort to buying either new or old cars.

But the demand for used cars, on the other hand, will surge from both those who want to upgrade from two-wheelers to cars and from cars to new car models.

"Any price reduction is good for our business," said Vinay Sanghi, chief executive officer, FirstChoice Ltd, a dealer in secondhand-cars from Mahindra & Mahindra.

"Used cars will see prices fall by nearly Rs 5,000 to 6,000," he added. "In India, the equation between used and new cars is 1:1, that is, for every one new car bought, a used car is sold," said Mohit Dubey, chief executive officer, Carwale.com.

He added that the recent announcements in the Budget would result in a 5%-10% reduction in used-car prices. For instance, a car that costs Rs 2 lakh will now be available for Rs 1.8 or 1.9 lakh.

He added that the used-car market, which is as big as the new car market in India, is growing faster at the rate of 26% compared to 18% for the new car market. Despite expectations of huge sales, used-car dealers see their margins unchanged. "Now, used cars will be sold and purchased at cheaper prices. Hence, there will be no change in our margins," Sanghi and Dubey corroborated.

When asked if excise cuts would lead to people shifting focus from used-cars to new models, Sanghi said, "New cars will still be expensive and unaffordable for many. Further, this also opens opportunities for two-wheeler owners to consider buying a used car, if not a new one."

Finance minister P Chidambaram had proposed to reduce excise duty on small cars and two-wheelers to 12% from the previous 16%, following which several automobile companies slashed prices of their vehicles.

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Indian Union Budget 2008-2009

Union Finance Minister P Chidambaram presented his fifth Budget in Parliament on Friday.

Changes in I-T slab. Threshold of exemption for all Income Tax assesses raised from from Rs 1,10,000 to Rs 1,50,000.
Every income tax assessees to get relief of minimum of Rs 4,000.
No change in rate of surcharge.
New tax slabs will be: 10 per cent for Rs 150,000 to Rs 300,000, 20 per cent for Rs 300,000 to Rs 500,000 and 30 per cent above Rs 500,000.
For women, the income tax limit goes up from Rs 1.45 lakh to Rs 1.80 lakh. In case of senior women citizens, it increases from Rs 1.95 lakh to Rs 2.25 lakh.
Fresh facilities, encouragement to sports and guest houses exempted from Fringe Benefit Tax.
Five year tax holiday for setting up hospitals in tier II and tier III regions for providing healthcare in rural areas from April 1, 2008.
Five year tax holiday for promoting cultural tourism.
Short-term capital gains increases to 15 per cent.
Commodities Transaction Tax to be introduced on the lines of Securities Transaction Tax.
Banking cash transaction tax withdrawn from April one, 2009.
Direct tax proposals to be revenue neutral. Indirect tax proposals to result in loss of Rs 5,000 crore.
Rs 500 crore for corpus fund to subsidise all women Self Help Groups for LIC [Get Quote] cover for permanent disability.
Agricultural loans given by scheduled commercial banks, regional rural banks and cooperative credit institutions up to March 31, 2007 and due for December 31 that year will be covered under the waiver scheme to address the problem of indebtedness.
No change in corporate income tax.
To protect tigers, Rs 50 crore for National Tiger Conservation Programme. Bulk of it to be used to raise Tiger Protection Force.
Plan expenditure fixed at Rs 2,43,000 crore and non plan expenditure at 5,74,000 crore.
Fiscal deficit pegged at 3.1 per cent and revenue deficit at 1.4 per cent.
Tax to GDP ratio increased from 9.2 per cent in 2004-05 to 12.5 per cent 2007-08.
No change in peak rate of customs duty for non
Customs duty on specified life saving drugs reduced from ten per cent to five per cent.
Special Countervailing Duty on power imports.
Customs duty on specified sports goods machinery down from 7.5 per cent to five per cent.
Duty withdrawn on naptha for production of polymers.
Duty on crude and unrefined sulphur reduced from five to 2 per cent to help raise domestic fertiliser production.
General Centvat on all goods to be reduced from 16 per cent to 14 per cent. Excise duty reduced from 16 per cent to eight per cent on all pharmaceutical goods manufacture.
Excise duty on small cars reduced to 12 per cent from 16 per cent and hybrid cars to 14 per cent.
Excise duty reduced from 16 to 8 per cent on water purification items.
Duty on non filter cigarettes to be raised.
Asset management service under mutual funds, services by stock exchanges to be brought under Services Tax net.
Threshold for small service providers raised from Rs eight lakh to Rs 10 lakh.
Allocation for defence to be increased by 10 per cent from Rs 96,000 crore to Rs 1,05,600 crore.
75 lakh people to be covered by health insurance scheme.
Allocation for Textile Upgradation Fund to be more than doubled.
Micro, small and medium enterprises to continue to get special attention.
Risk Capital Fund to be set up in SIDBI.
PAN requirement to be extended to all transactions in capital market subject to a threshold.
Rs 750 crore for upgradation of 300 ITIs in 25 districts.
Rs 32,676 crore as subsidy to Public Distribution System.
PDS through smart cards in Haryana and Chandigarh on pilot basis.
Three schemes to be introduced for providing social security to unorganised sector workers.
Sixth central pay commission to submit report by March 31, 2008.
Rs 624 crore allocated for Commonwealth Games

Budget 2008-09 Sops for Industry

Rs 5000 crore fund for enhancing re-finance operations
No change in corporate tax
Excise duty on Pharma products down to 8 per cent from last year's 16 per cent
Excise duty on two and three wheelers down to 12 per cent
Excise duty on Hybrid cars reduced to 14 per cent from 24 per cent
Excises duty on buses and chassis reduced to 12 per cent
Special exemptions and reductions for paper, fertilizers and auto industries
Four new services (Asset management service provided under ULIP, services provided by stock / commodity exchanges and clearing houses, right to use goods in cases where VAT is not payable and customised software) brought under tax net
Custom duty on project import have been reduced from 7.5 per cent to 5 per cent
Public Sector Units to get Rs 16436 crore in 2008-09
Export taxes on key raw material of steel to be increased
Excise duty on packaged software increased from 8 to 12 per cent
Change in Security Transaction Tax (STT)
Short-term capital gains to increase to 15 per cent
Banking Transaction Tax (BTT) withdrawn
Commodity Transaction Tax introduced
No double deduction of Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT)