Looking beyond the budget - Indian Union Budget 08-09

It would be na and #239;ve to say that the budget was a surprise. With one eye firmly on the vote banks, the Finance Minister's whopping farmer loan write-offs and focus on increasing consumption by lowering excise duties and raising the income tax slabs demonstrated the expected intent - a conscious shift in expenditure towards health, education and the rural sector! After the expected applause from the manufacturing, pharmaceutical and healthcare sectors, and a temporary sulking in the stock markets, it has to be business as usual for corporate India as we move towards the end of the financial year.

The question now is - how wills the future shape up with the cloud of a global recession darkening the horizon? There are many good initiatives announced by the Finance Minister that will have medium term positive impact on business. Substantial outlays in Education with more IITs and higher education universities announced will boost the availability of talent and hopefully elevate the levels of research which are abysmal at present.

The focus on vocational education if implemented well in conjunction with the ITI schemes will alleviate the paucity of skilled manpower that is plaguing most of the growth sectors. Wide-ranging public private partnerships in education can see the beginnings of the long awaited total reform in the education sector and provide succour to resource starved sectors like retail,healthcare and business process outsourcing (BPO).

So why the anxiety in the IT and BPO industries? The double whammy of service tax on customised software purchases, which will make the nascent domestic demand relapse into inertia all over again is one big dampener. And the lack of any clear direction on the continuing of 10 A / 10 B benefits under the STPI scheme have left many insiders puzzled.

What does make the sector mad is the fact that the development of entrepreneurial start-ups and the spread of employment to smaller towns in the country will be derailed if the STPI (Software Technology Parks of India) scheme does not continue beyond March 2009 and the weaker profitability of BPO units, already shaken by the change in dollar-rupee conversions, will make the industry less attractive to global customers with competing countries offering every incentive under the sun to move their business there. It is important to dispel the myth that the possible withdrawal of STPI benefits will bring the industry crashing down.

Most significant IT firms have established strong beachheads within their client bases in key geographies and will adopt a judicious mix of SEZ (special economic zone) and other investments to continue to grow their bottom lines, albeit at a lower clip than the continuing 25 percent revenue growth that can be expected till the end of this decade. However, in the interest of inclusiveness, it is essential that a level-playing field is created for the smaller players as well.

As the year progresses, we hope and expect that the persistence of NASSCOM in pushing the cause of these weaker segments of industry will be rewarded with success. The industry continues to be strong and a little help from the powers-that-be will enable it to grow to true global supremacy status.


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Key Features of Budget 2008-2009

THE ECONOMY : AN OVERVIEW
! The Gross Domestic Product increased by 7.5 per cent, 9.4 per cent and 9.6 percent
in first three years, of the UPA Government resulting in an unprecedented average
growth rate of 8.8 per cent. The drivers of growth continue to be 'services' and
'manufacturing' which are estimated to grow at 10.7 per cent and 9.4 per cent
respectively.
! Growth rate in agriculture for 2007-08 is estimated at 2.6 per cent.
! Food grain production in 2007-08, estimated at 219.32 million tonnes-an all time
record. Rice production at 94.08 million tonnes, maize at 16.78 million tonnes,
soya bean at 9.45 million tonnes, cotton at 23.38 million bales each, an all time
record.
! Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana launched with an outlay of Rs. 25,000 crore, National
Food Security Mission with an outlay of Rs. 4,882 crore under National Policy for
Farmers in the Eleventh Five Year Plan.

THE GROWTH STORY : FASTER AND MORE INCLUSIVE

! Agricultural credit poised to reach Rs. 2,40,000 crore by March, 2008.
! 11.4 crore children covered under Mid Day Meal Scheme, the largest school lunch
programme in the world.
! Under National Rural Health Mission 8,756 primary health centres have been made
24x7 .
! 1,82,000 girls enrolled in residential schools under Kasturba Gandhi Balika
Vidyalaya Scheme.

BHARAT NIRMAN
! Bharat Nirman has made impressive progress in 2007-08 with 290 habitations
provided with drinking water each day, 17 habitations connected through all weather
road, 52 villages provided telephones, 42 villages electrified & 4,113 rural houses
completed each day.

ELEVENTH FIVE YEAR PLAN: THE CRUCIAL SECOND YEAR
! GBS 2008-09 at Rs.2,43,386 crore higher by Rs. 38,286 crore over 2007-08. Central
Plan allocation at Rs.1,79,954 crore, an increase of 16 percent over 2007-08; Bharat
Nirman to get Rs. 31,280 crore.
! Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan (SSA): Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan provided Rs.13,100 crore
with the focus to shift from access and infrastructure at the primary level to enhancing
retention and improving quality of learning. Mid-day Meal to get Rs. 8,000 crore;
secondary education to get Rs. 4,554 crore.
! Jawahar Navodaya Vidyalaya : Rs. 130 crore provided in 2008-09, to establish
Navodaya Vidyalaya in 20 districts having large concentration of Scheduled Castes
& Scheduled Tribes.
! Kasturba Gandhi Balika Vidyalaya: Funds (as part of SSA) provided for additional
410 Vidyalayas in educationally backward areas. Rs. 80 crore allocated to set up
new or upgrade existing hostels attached to Balika Vidyalaya.
! National Means-cum-Merit Scholarship: Rs. 750 crore allocated to build up a corpus
of Rs.3,000 crore in four years. 1,00,000 Scholarship to be awarded beginning
2008-09.
! Nehru Yuva Kendra: Rs. 10 crore allocated in 2008-09 to set up a Kendra in 123
districts, and to cover recurring expenditure in the first year.
! Mid Day Meal Scheme: Extended to upper primary classes in Government and
Government aided schools in all blocks which will benefit 2.5 crore children taking
the total number of children covered under the scheme to 13.9 crore.
! Institutes of Higher Education: India to become a knowledge society, three IISERs
at Mohali, Pune and Kolkata; and an IIIT at Kanchipuram have started
functioning.Government to set up 16 Central Universities in each of the hitherto
uncovered states; three IITs in Andhra Pradesh, Bihar and Rajasthan; two IISERs
at Bhopal and Tiruvananthapuram; and two Schools of Planning and Architecture
at Bhopal and Vijayawada: Rs. 5 crore grant provided to Deccan College, Postgraduate
and Research Institute, Pune.
! Science and Technology: Rs.85 crore allocated for Innovation in Science Pursuit
for Inspired Research (INSPIRE); which will include scholarships for young learners
(10-17 years), scholarships for continuing science education (17-22 years) and
opportunities for research careers (22-32 years); Rs. 100 crore provided for
establishing the National Knowledge Network.
! Health Sector: Rs.16,534 crore allocated, for the sector marking an increase of
15% over 2007-08.

http://indiabudget.nic.in

Commodity indices want FM to withdraw trasanction tax

The proposed commodities transaction tax (CTT) in the budget is expected to have a detrimental effect on the country's commodity market, which is just four year's old and yet to mature. The CTT at the rate of Rs 17 per lakh could be the harbinger of reduced volumes in commodity exchanges since commodity markets work on very thin margins.

PH Ravikumar, managing director of National Commodity and amp; Derivative Exchange (NCDX), said: "The imposition of CTT would result in a significant increase in the transaction cost by more than 800 per cent. The effective transaction cost after the CTT is expected to be highest in the world," he added.

Comparing the commodity derivative market with the securities derivative market, Ravikumar said:. "The securities market has matured with many types of derivatives instruments, while the commodities derivative market is at a nascent stage with one product - future," he said.

Jignesh Shah, MD, Multi Commodity Exchange, said: "Unlike the securities market, commodity markets are globally-linked and traders have the option to trade on other stock exchange. In case one increases the transaction cost, it is certain that traders would move to other globally competitive markets.

" Currently, the cost of transaction on the commodity exchange is Rs 2 per lakh. However, after imposition of the CTT at Rs 17 per lakh and and service tax of Re 0.

25 per lakh as per the proposal, it will go up to Rs 19.25 per lakh.

The government has estimated a revenue collection of Rs 1,000 crore through this route from the commodity markets that would have gross turnover of Rs 50,000 crore. Experts said that since the hedging market is much cost sensitive, increase of cost by 800 per cent would make the market highly inefficient.

Indian exchanges will become the costliest in the world losing global competitiveness.The chiefs of NCDX, MCX and the National Multi-Commodity Exchange have made representations to commodity regulator Forward Market Commission and to the secretary of the Ministry of Consumer Affairs.

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Indian FM asks banks to lower home loan rates - Indian Budget 2008-2009

India's finance minister, Palaniappan Chidambaram addressing a post budget industry meet on March 06 asked banks to consider lowering rates on some housing loans while the central bank maintains .

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Railway Budget does little for Bhavnagar's women porters - Indian Rail Budget 2008-09

Railway Minister Lalu Prasad Yadav's recent announcement to absorb porters as gangmen led to a wave of celebrations across railway stations in the country, except at Bhavnagar Junction here.

The porters at this main junction in Saurashtra have little to cheer about as 22 of the 25 porters are women above the age of 35 - one of the two factors that make them ineligible for a government job that demands heavy physical work.

It was in 1880 that Takhtsinhji Thakor, the then ruler of Bhavnagar, started a rail link for his kingdom. With that, he gave women from the Koli community permission to work as porters. He issued badges, recognised by the Bhavnagar state, to all the 40 porters appointed at that time. In Thaktisinhji's time, the badge could be passed on to a daughter only. While this has not become a rule, the community has followed the tradition even after Independence. Today, women porters without the badge are not allowed to work at the station.

But 55-year-old Hariben Chaganbhai, who has been working as a porter for close to 30 years now, feels the new Railway Budget won't change anything for her.

"I earn Rs 2,000-3,000 per month ferrying goods of passengers. I am not educated, but I do know that to become a gangman, one needs some qualification and one has to be in the right age bracket. Given such conditions, nothing is going to change for me or other women porters here," she said.

Gomtiben, 60, another porter, opines that either the Railway Minister doesn't know about women porters or he has simply ignored them. "I am happy for other porters. But the Government should also consider cases of women like me," she says.

Like Gomtiben, Champaben Varmani has also been assisting her mother at the station since the age of 15. Now she is 40. "I have learnt from my mother how luggage is to be taken care of, and how to earn the faith of a passenger," says Champaben. She charges Rs 20 to Rs 50, depending on the weight of the luggage.

With one long-distance train and a couple of short-distance ones stopping here, a porter on an average at Bhavnagar station earns anything around Rs 100 per day. Says Champaben, "Gangmen have two advantages. They earn around Rs 5,000 per month and they are also Government employees."

"We also work as maids. So, we can have multiple sources of income," adds Hariben.

Mahavirsinh Gohil, chairman of Western Railway Mazdoor Sangh, is also sceptical that the new arrangement would be of help to women porters. "The parameter for the job of gangman like minimum SSC pass and 28 years of age for direct recruitment are expected to be followed."

Gohil adds that that of the nearly 4,000 gangmen in Gujarat, the number of women workers is not more than 50. Besides, these women were recruited as replacement following the death of a gangman, and rarely as a direct appointment.

http://in.news.yahoo.com/indianexpress/20080305/r_t_ie_nl_politics/tnl-railway-budget-does-little-for-bhavn-0058794_1.html

Deshmukh for relaxation in farmer loan waiver criterion-India Budget 2008-2009

Maharashtra Chief Minister Vilasrao Deshmukh Wednesday sought a revision in the criteria for loan waiver to farmers, saying only 76 percent of farmers will benefit from the concession announced by the central government in then national budget 2007-08.

Deshmukh said the proposed loan waiver announced for farmers by Finance Minister P. Chidambaram was historic, but would not benefit all farmers if the farmers' eligibility criterion was not increased up to a minimum five hectares.

The government in its annual budget Feb 29 announced the one-time loan waiver of a whopping Rs.600 billion to cover an estimated 40 million small and marginal Indian farmers possessing two hectares of land.

'I am pursuing the matter with the government and Congress president Sonia Gandhi and hope some positive result will come out,' Deshmukh told reporters after meeting Planning Commission deputy chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia to finalise the annual plan outlay for Maharashtra.

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Hold price line, Govt tells manufacturing sector - Indian Union Budget 2008-2009

The Finance Minister, Mr P. Chidambaram, on Wednesday asked the manufacturing industry to hold the price line, highlighting that its products and not the food prices alone that were contributing in a big way to inflation in the economy.

“You have to improve your competitiveness and hold the price line. You gain from volumes what you lose from not increasing the prices and then meet the growing demand. Demand will rise in 2008-09. The challenge is for the industry to produce goods and services to meet the rising demand,” Mr Chidambaram told FICCI members at a post-Budget meeting here.He was responding to the FICCI President, Mr Rajeev Chandrasekhar’s observation that it was primary products and food shortages that are driving inflation predominantly.

The Finance Minister said that the weightage and contribution of the manufacturing sector in the wholesale price index (WPI) was significantly high than the primary articles weightage and contribution.

Mr Chidambaram also asked industry sectors that have benefited from deep fiscal cuts in the budget —pharmaceuticals, two wheelers, buses and paper — to not only hold price line, but lower prices if possible.

He said that the manufacturing sector would hurt itself in the long run if it tried to exploit short term supply-demand mismatch. “In fact, I alluded to this in my Budget speech by pointing out oligopolistic tendencies in some sectors. A year ago when I tried to persuade the cement industry, they put on air of injustice. Two judgments have come from MRTPC, one in the last four days, pointing out that cement industry is acting like a cartel,” he said.

Source:http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2008/03/06/stories/2008030651971000.htm

India's benchmark index crashes over 900 points -Indian Union Budget 2008

Mumbai, March 3 (IANS) After opening the day in the red Monday, the Indian equity markets plunged deeply despite Finance Minister P. Chidambaram saying there was no cause for worry.

Investors made heavy sales in major stocks like HDFC, Bharat Heavy Electricals, State Bank of India and Reliance Capital Ltd.

At 3.30 p.m., the 30-share sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), which had opened at 17,227.56 points, tumbled to a low of 16,651.85 points. It lost 926.87 points or 5.27 percent.

The BSE Midcap index, which opened at 7,622.76 points, went down by 289.68 points to a low of 7,379.96 or by 3.77 percent.

The BSE Smallcap index, which opened at 9,591.22 points, went down by 364.66 at 9,263.47 points or 3.79 percent.

On BSE, the market breadth was extremely negative with low trading volumes. A total of 374 shares advanced, 2,325 shares declined and 37 shares remained unchanged.

Earlier in the day, Chidambaram had said the fall in Indian stock markets reflected what was happening globally and there was not much cause for worry as India's growth stock was intact.

'The Asian markets have slipped today (Monday) because of the fears of a recession in the US. And what is happening in India only shows that we are not as decoupled as we may think we are,' he said.

'I don't think we need to worry too much about that. This is reflecting what is happening in the world market,' he added, after the sensitive index (Sensex) of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) opened with a loss of 360 points.

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Kerala farmers stage a "crawling march" Indian union budget 2008-2009

New Delhi, Mar 3 (ANI): Farmers in large numbers participated in a crawling march in New Delhi to protest against the Securitisation and Reconstruction of Financial Assets and Enforcement of Security Interests (SARFAESI) Act, 2002 that empowers banks to dispose of defaulters' securities to recover dues.

Farmers who came to Delhi from Kerala on February 23 to launch this protest complain that banks are taking over homestead property by using the centrally enacted SARFAESI Act.

"The Parliament should amend this act. Not only Kerala, all over India, this act is being used without discretion by banks. Nobody is questioning that," said John, Convener, Shelter Protection Committee.

The SARDFAESI Act empowers banks or financial Institutions to recover their non-performing assets without the intervention of the courts.

The act provides three alternative methods for recovery of non-performing assets, namely securitization, asset reconstruction and enforcement of security without the intervention of the courts.

The act brings in an element of non-conventional battle against Non Performing Assets (NPA), as it empowers banks to dispose of defaulters' securities to recover the dues.

The Sarfaesi Act came into existence in 2002 as a fallout of the balance of payments crisis in the 1990s and the recommendations of the Narasimham committee on banking reforms. (ANI)

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No leg-up for long-term investment, NPS' woes to continue -Indian Union Budget

Union Budget 2008-09 has not spelt out any concrete measure, which will boost long-term investment. The new pension system (NPS) continues to suffer from adverse tax treatment, compared to other savings instruments such as Public Provident Fund (PPF), Employees Provident Fund (EPF) and General Provident Fund (GPF). While EET (exempt-exempt-tax) structure is applicable to small savings instruments, for pension products, EET structure is applicable, which could prove to be a disincentive for investors to park their funds in long-term savings instruments, which include pension and life insurance products.

In addition, though the exemption level for personal income tax has been raised, the additional ceiling has not been channelised to boost savings.

This is, however, likely to give a push to consumption.

Finance minister P Chidambaram has also remained silent on whether reforms would be carried out in pension and insurance sector. Pension Fund Regulatory and Development Authority Bill is yet to see the light of the day. On the other hand, comprehensive amendment in the insurance sector is also pending. Reforms in these two crucial sectors have almost come to a halt due to still protest from the Left parties.

Speaking to FE, D Swarup, chairman of PFRDA pointed out, "We were hopeful that NPS contributions will be brought on par with PPF, EPF GPF in terms of tax treatment. This does not seem to have been done and NPS continues to be under the EET regime whereas the other saving products are exempt from tax at every stage." He added that this will be a disincentive for potential NPS participants after the PFRDA Bill is passed.

"The additional income in the hands of an individual on account of higher exemption limits could have been channelised towards savings if the ceiling under Section 80C of IT Act been enhanced too. We need the savings rate to go up even further to spur investments," he said.

However, CS Rao, chairman, Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA) said that the increase in tax from 10% to 15% on short term capital gains may encourage people to go in for long term investment options. "This increase in tax structure is bound to give a push to long term investment," he told FE.

Rao further added that the health insurance segment would benefit from the tax benefits which have been provided to individuals who pay premium on behalf of their parents. The budget provides a deduction of Rs 15,000 under Section 80D to an individual who pays medical insurance premium for parents. "This is a boost to senior citizens and would be beneficial for the health insurance segment," Rao

pointed out.

In addition, insurance schemes for the unorganised sector have also been introduced this year, he said. The "Aam Admi Bima" yojana is aimed at providing insurance cover to the poorer section of the society.

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E-bike manufacturers disappointed over Budget 2008-09

The Union Budget has dampened the spirits of electronic bike (E-Bike) manufacturers as the government has left the issues of excise duty on such bikes and import duty on battery untouched.

The E-Bike manufacturers had sought from Union Finance Minister to exempt excise duty on E-Bike and reduce import duty on battery, which is a key input for a bike.

Upset over not acceding to the request of the industry, Onkar Singh Pahwa Managing Director of Avon Cycles -- a e-bike manufacturer-- said it is beyond his cognizance that "why Finance Minister ignored the common man's dream of owning an affordable battery-powered two-wheeler while battery-powered car is given exemption from whole of excise duty."

The electric two wheelers in particular continue to attract 8 per cent excise duty "which is social injustice of the cruelest kind," he remarked.

Current taxation on E-Bike and its parts makes its ownership prohibitive for the average aspirant in this segment, he said therefore, these be fully exempted, as in the case of electric car, he said.

Echoing similar views, Hero Cycles, which is also a big player in this segment, expressed surprise over not touching the demands of E-Bike industry in the Budget. "The government should have reduced the import duty on battery which constitutes almost 25 to 27 per cent of the cost," Hero Exports (part of Hero Cycles) Senior Vice President Ashok Abrol said.

Several players, including Yo bikes, Hero Electric, Avon Cycles have ventured into this segment which is still at nascent stage

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Yashwant Sinha sees communal colour in Budget 2008

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has found a communal angle in Budget 2008-09 with which it aims to rejuvenate its Hindutva agenda.

Former finance minister Yashwant Sinha, who tabled six successive Budgets during the rule of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance, noted that finance minister P Chidambaram made specific mention of recruiting more Muslims in the central paramilitary forces in tune with the Justice Rajindar Sachar Committee's recommendations.

"What has the Budget to do with Sachar committee recommendations? How can recruitment figure in a budget?" Sinha said.

"This is for the first time in the history of Indian budget that a finance minister has announced benefits on religious lines and given a communal reflection in it," said Sinha, who has the distinction of having tabled one Budget more than Chidambaram.

He was here to address three separate meetings of chambers of business.

"We will go to the people telling that we will just reverse it when we come to power. Any budgetary programme announced will be beneficial for all section of minorities and not of a particular community," Sinha said.

He said while the budget has shown a fiscal deficit of 2.5% of the GDP, it has concealed the deficits on the account of food, oil and fertiliser subsidies, the load of the sixth pay commission---- Rs 30,000 crore at least in 2008-09 --- and the Rs 60,000-crore farm loan waiver.

The Fifth Pay Commission had an impact of Rs 200,000 crore, Sinha pointed out.

http://in.news.yahoo.com/financialexpress/20080305/r_t_fe_bs_budget08/tbs-yashwant-sinha-sees-communal-colour-7435665.html

Time to buy datacard, DVD or MP3 -India Budget 2008

It may be time to opt for that satellite cable connection for your TV or Internet (wireless datacard) connection for your notebook or a DVD or MP3 player to play soothing music.

The Finance Minister, P Chidambaram, has proposed that specified parts of set-top boxes and raw materials used in the IT/electronic hardware industry should be exempted from customs duty, whereas the customs duty on convergence products should be slashed from 10 per cent to five per cent.

This will lead to a drop in prices, albeit small in some cases, after reading the fine print, according to industry experts and analysts.

"If one reads carefully," noted Ramesh Vaswani, Executive Vice Chairman, Intex Technologies, "the reduction in customs duty and one per cent reduction in central sales tax (CST) will not really reduce the retail prices of portable media players such as MP3, MP4 and DVD players by a significant margin."

The prices could fall anywhere between Rs 100 and Rs 200 for an MP3 player that costs Rs 3,000, said Vaswani.

Meanwhile, the cut in excise duty -- from 16 per cent to nil -- on wireless data cards would accelerate the Internet penetration among middle-class laptop users. Notebook sales have been growing by over 70 per cent annually.

"Since notebook sales are primarily driven by consumption in the household segment, according to MAIT, it makes economic sense to have cheaper wireless data cards for home browsing," observed R Muralidharan, Associate Director, PricewaterhouseCoopers.

Both Airtel and Tata Communications said they will pass the entire benefit to customers. Manoj Kohli, CEO and President, Bharti Airtel [Get Quote], said, "The benefit of duty cut on wireless data cards would be passed to the consumers completely."

Muralidharan, though, added a word of caution: "We are not sure if wireless data cards include the USB dongles, which have become quite popular lately."

A quick calculation shows that if the duty cut benefit is completely passed on to consumers, a USB data dongle priced at Rs 3,000 will be cheaper by almost Rs 500.

A dampener, though, was the budget proposal wherein the finance minister imposed a National Calamity Contingent Duty (NCCD) at the rate of 1 per cent on mobile phones.

Powered by -Business Standard

Source:http://www.rediff.com/money/2008/mar/03budget6.htm

Budget and your stocks Sectoral analysis

What the Budget does

Exemption from customs duty on specified parts of set top boxes and specified raw materials for use in the IT/ electronic hardware industry.
Reduction in customs duty on convergence products from 10% to 5%.
No change in the corporate income tax rates.
No change in the rate of surcharge and dividend distribution tax.

Impact on sector

The exemption of customs duty will bring broadcasting equipment like set top boxes on par with rates applicable on telecom equipment and provide a fillip to the DTH industry that uses set top boxes.
It will also encourage domestic production of set top boxes.

Source:http://specials.rediff.com/money/2008/feb/29budsec1.htm

Pharma shares act as defensives - India Budget 2008

Shares of pharmaceutical companies seemed oblivious to the carnage in the markets on Monday, with the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Health Care index?losing just 0.2% in value.

Both the Sensex and the broader BSE 500 index lost 5% in value, taking cues from the fall in US stocks last Friday and the drop in Asian markets on Monday. The pharma industry got a fair bit of mention in this year’s Budget, with a number of positive announcements, but an analyst with a foreign brokerage said he doubted the resilience in pharma shares had anything to do with the Budget.

The upside from the Budget had already been factored in on Friday. In any case, the benefits weren’t huge.

The cut in excise duty from 16% to 8% will have a limited impact. Unlike some other products, pharmaceuticals aren’t so price-sensitive that excise-related cuts will lead to a surge in demand.

So, firms are likely to retain some of the benefits and earnings may increase. Morgan Stanley recently estimated the earnings of the firms under its coverage may increase between 1.

5% and 4.5%, on the assumption that 40% of the duty cut is retained by firms.

Companies that have heavily invested in setting up facilities in tax-free zones, such as Baddi and Sikkim, may stand to lose out. The transportation cost from these facilities is significant, and devoid of the 16% excise differential, their cost benefit of these units would be reduced substantially.

Firms that conduct clinical trials in their overseas units haven’t got the benefit of weighted deduction on the research and development spend. The markets were expecting this, which explains why shares of Sun Pharmaceutical Ltd’s hived-off research and development wing have lost more than 4% since the Budget announcement.

In sum, the Budget proposals hardly provide any reason for pharma shares to outperform the market by around 7%. Their outperformance lately could well be because they are being seen as a defensive play in a falling market.

Apart from the FMCG index, the pharma index has fallen the least from its highs in January. These stocks had underperformed the market by a large margin in the past and since prices of generics have already fallen sharply in most markets, earnings growth is expected to be steady in the near future.

With valuations already running low, pharma stocks are among the few where the downside seems limited.

http://in.news.yahoo.com/mint/20080304/r_t_mint_bs_budget08/tbs-pharma-shares-act-as-defensives-a839eca.html

Union Budget 08-09 & impact on Indian IT industry

Union Budget is welcome for India as a whole. Its quite inclusive & have much needed focus on inclusive growth. India growth story cannot be continued without making every Indian part of it.
From IT perspective & for me as IT enterepeneur its bit dis-appointing budget. Specially

1) No mention of STPI scheme extension plan. Its very critical for SME IT companies. Bigger companies can always opt for SEZ.

2) Inclusion of custom software services & software testing services under service tax net. Big dampener for domestic IT business.

3) Increase in excise duty on packaged software. Will make local software product costlier as compared to international ones.

Lets hope there will be some positive developments atleast on STPI front during the year before deadline of 2009.

Source: http://www.e-zest.net/blog/post/Union-Budget-08-09--impact-on-IT.aspx

Sensex feels heat of farm loan write-offs, global pressure -India Budget 2008

The Bombay Stock Exchange’s (BSE) benchmark index suffered its second biggest single-day drop ever on Monday, the first day of trading after the 2008 Union Budget was presented, as plans for the country’s largest farm loan write-down added to deepening fears of a recession in the US. While the sell-off on negative global market cues was expected, the massive loan write-off by state-run banks, announced in the Budget, increased bearishness.

The potential losses faced by public sector banks added to the selling pressure,” said Satish Ramanathan, who helps manage $3 billion worth Indian stocks as head of equities at Sundaram BNP Paribas Asset Management Co. Ltd.

The 30-stock benchmark index, Sensex, lost more than 900 points or 5.12% to close at 16,677.

88, as all key Asian markets suffered heavy selling after key US equity indices, Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500, lost more than 2.5% each on Friday’s trade.

The National Stock Exchange’s (NSE) broader 50-stock Nifty index lost 270.50 points or 5.

18% to hit 4,953. The banking index was down 6.

7%, making it the worst hit on BSE. The Budget was presented during market hours on Friday, when the Sensex closed down 1.

4%. On Monday, the bank stocks “pushed down the sentimental scale,” said Ketan Karani, head of equity research at Kotak Securities Ltd, a domestic retail brokerage.

The government has so far mentioned only about “providing liquidity support” to these banks which would be affected by loan write-offs. “Their destiny is unclear.

” Banks, with a cumulative market capitalization of about $150 billion, account for 15% of the Indian market’s total capitalization. State-owned banks account for about half of the sector’s market cap.

State Bank of India (SBI), the country’s largest lender, lost 8.8%, while other public sector banks such as Union Bank of India, Punjab National Bank, Bank of India and Canara Bank, were down between 9.

65% and 7.5%.

Jignesh Desai, head of institutional desk at SBI Capital Markets Ltd, the investment banking arm of SBI, said foreign institutional investors sold heavily on Monday. The selling put pressure on the local currency as these investors convert their rupee exposure in equities into dollar after selling stocks.

The rupee slid to a five-and-a-half month low. The rupee closed at 40.

39/40 a dollar against its Friday’s close of 40.01/02.

Some brokers, who deal with foreign institutional investors (FIIs), claimed that a group of UK-based funds, including FII-registered funds floated by some Indian firms, were big sellers in the FII-pack. According to provisional data on the BSE website, FIIs were net sellers of Rs711 crore in the cash market on Monday, while domestic institutions bought Rs80 crore worth stocks.

It was a free fall in the market in the second-half of trading, said Desai. “There were no buyers.

Domestic institutions—mutual funds and insurance funds—did not participate in late-trade,” he said. “With FIIs continuing to sell and domestic investors down on sentiments, the market channels are dry,” Kotak’s Karani said.

Investors need fresh trigger to rerecognize the growth potential of Indian stocks, which have lost significantly this year, he added. Analysts expect the fall to continue and some some of them even predicted that the index would go down to 15,000 levels by the end of this month.

Jignesh Shah, head of equities at the wealth management division of ABN Amro Bank (India) NV, said global cues “had strong bearing on the Sensex fall than any domestic factor.” High net worth individuals (HNIs) “expect market to achieve stability in sometime,” he said.

“HNIs are buying domestic themes.” Anup Roy contributed to this story.

http://in.news.yahoo.com/mint/20080304/r_t_mint_bs_budget08/tbs-sensex-feels-heat-of-farm-loan-write-a839eca.html

Airlines lobby for low tax on fuel by states - India Budget 2008-09

After receiving little respite from state-owned oil companies on aviation fuel prices and Friday’s Union Budget on a tax on lease payments, airlines in India now plan to lobby hard at least six state governments to reduce sales tax levied on fuel in an effort to cut their operating costs. States apply sales tax at rates ranging from 20-30% on jet fuel, making it an expensive commodity for airlines who count fuel expenses around a third of their operating cost.

As oil prices have escalated in the past few years, losses at domestic airlines are expected to top $700 million (Rs2,821 crore) compared with the Rs2,000 crore lost last year. “We were expecting a lot from the Budget in terms of fuel being made a declared good, and (exemptions on) fringe benefit tax,” said S.

Venkat, executive director (finance), National Aviation Co. of India Ltd that runs Air India.

“It’s quite disappointing that there is nothing contained there.” Late last year, the Federation of Indian Airlines, a lobby organization for all scheduled airlines in the country, together with the civil aviation ministry, had sought a reduction in aviation turbine fuel prices from oil companies, but with little result.

The fuel today costs about Rs47,050 per kilolitre in New Delhi, down from some Rs47,445 in December, the highest in 2007. Even minor reductions, airlines say, can lessen the burden on them.

Chennai-based Paramount Airways India Ltd that runs a five-aircraft operation, for example, saves up to Rs5 crore a month because it flies smaller aircraft, fuel for which attracts a flat 4% sales tax. Air India alone will save Rs30 crore annually from this year after an exemption granted by the Andhra Pradesh government—the only one so far—last month on jet fuel.

Sales tax on aviation fuel sold in the state was reduced from 33% to 4% as the state geared up for the launch of its new international airport in March. The state hopes the airport will help it become a regional hub for air traffic in south India.

But taxes in other states still remain high. Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Gujarat, Maharashtra and New Delhi are the other six states that have airports with potential of becoming hubs for airlinesand will be obvious lobbying targets as state annual budgets are rolled out in the months ahead.

“States also go for their budget soon. We hope Andhra Pradesh will spur others to look at it (a reduction),” said a senior airline executive, who did not wished himself or his employer to be identified.

Airlines believe sales taxes hovering around 4-5% will increase traffic in states that offer this lower rate. “Airlines would like to develop them (airports) as hubs and then operate most of their flights there.

There are several indirect benefits as the volumes rise,” said Air India’s Venkat. A senior official in the civil aviation ministry, who did not wish to be identified, said it too plans to ask states to reduce taxes.

http://in.news.yahoo.com/mint/20080303/r_t_mint_bs_budget08/tbs-airlines-lobby-for-low-tax-on-fuel-b-a839eca.html

Used-car market may surge with Union Budget sops

As the effects of the Union Budget 2008-09 slowly begin to trickle down, auto industry companies feel that there will be a surge in the number of buyers and sellers in the used car market. With the Budget granting them more disposable income, many would resort to buying either new or old cars.

But the demand for used cars, on the other hand, will surge from both those who want to upgrade from two-wheelers to cars and from cars to new car models.

"Any price reduction is good for our business," said Vinay Sanghi, chief executive officer, FirstChoice Ltd, a dealer in secondhand-cars from Mahindra & Mahindra.

"Used cars will see prices fall by nearly Rs 5,000 to 6,000," he added. "In India, the equation between used and new cars is 1:1, that is, for every one new car bought, a used car is sold," said Mohit Dubey, chief executive officer, Carwale.com.

He added that the recent announcements in the Budget would result in a 5%-10% reduction in used-car prices. For instance, a car that costs Rs 2 lakh will now be available for Rs 1.8 or 1.9 lakh.

He added that the used-car market, which is as big as the new car market in India, is growing faster at the rate of 26% compared to 18% for the new car market. Despite expectations of huge sales, used-car dealers see their margins unchanged. "Now, used cars will be sold and purchased at cheaper prices. Hence, there will be no change in our margins," Sanghi and Dubey corroborated.

When asked if excise cuts would lead to people shifting focus from used-cars to new models, Sanghi said, "New cars will still be expensive and unaffordable for many. Further, this also opens opportunities for two-wheeler owners to consider buying a used car, if not a new one."

Finance minister P Chidambaram had proposed to reduce excise duty on small cars and two-wheelers to 12% from the previous 16%, following which several automobile companies slashed prices of their vehicles.

http://in.news.yahoo.com/financialexpress/20080304/r_t_fe_bs_budget08/tbs-used-car-market-may-surge-with-union-7435665.html

Corporates should be willing to sacrifice: Chidambaram Budget 2008

Lauding the growth metered by the Manufacturing and Service sector in the shadow of consistent economic growth, Finance Minister, P Chidambaram, urged the corporate sector to sacrifice something for the comparatively lagging Agriculture sector. He was referring to the principled emphasis given to agriculture and social sector in Budget 2008-2009.

The Finance Minister has proposed loan waivers for farmers, especially small and marginal farmers, for which an amount worth Rs 60,000 crore has been earmarked in the current fiscal's Budget. Chidambaram was addressing business leaders in a post budget interactive session, organised at Vigyan Bhawan in the national capital.

Backing his 'unprecedented' budgetary support for agriculture, Finance Minister said that the production of food grains has become stagnant over the years and growing inter-regional and intra-regional disparities have made some respite for the farmers unavoidable.

"Manufacturing and service sectors are growing like never before, but farming sector is lacking the momentum. Farmers are slipping out of institutional credit system. Though, several efforts have been made by successive governments, but no significant change could be seen. So such comprehensive measure was inevitable and necessary," said the Finance Minister, who presented his Seventh, and Fifth consecutive Annual Budget on February 29.

Highlighting the contribution of agriculture in the Indian economy which has made the country self-sufficient in the food grains production, Chidambaram cautioned against ignoring this sector when he said, "We would be vulnerable to high priced imported grains if the state of farming is left unnoticed for long. So the stress on farmers should be reduced and the time has come to stand-up and say that we are for the farmers. All of us should sacrifice something for farmers."

The Finance Minister also sought for increased participation of corporate sectors in taking up their social responsibility. "We have proposed to provide tax holiday for establishing hotels, schools and hospitals in the hinterland. The Prime Minister announced that the government would be out of the skill development mission. You should take over ITIs (Industrial Training Institutes) for preparing better ground for skill supply in the future," said Chidambaram, while pulling the industry leaders for their lenient approach displayed towards the proposal.

Hitherto, only 244 ITIs have been taken over by corporates out of the existing 1396. This year's Budget had proposed reduction in CENVAT, excise and custom duty apart from leaving more money in the wallets of consumer in the form of income tax rebates, which would certainly fetch increased demand for goods and services and consequently the manufacturing and service sector would reap the dividends.

http://www.headlinesindia.com/archive_html/03March2008_71768.html